Guide
What does a security cooperation office forecast each year?
Each year the office estimates the defense articles and services the partner nation may buy from the United States. The input feeds two related reports: the Forecast led by and the the Department sends to Congress. A forecast is an estimate, not a plan, and it must not suggest that a future request will be approved.
What does a security cooperation office forecast each year?
are required to submit annually, through their geographic , to a forecast for possible future to the Partner Nation. It is important to note the distinction between planning documents and forecasting documents. The planning documents all reflect a goal, intended to be achieved. Conversely, a forecasting document simply reflects the ’s best estimate of what defense articles and services the PN may be considering for purchase from the U.S.
submit a single input covering the material necessary for the two separate reports. extracts (and analyzes) the Sales Forecast Report and necessary Javits data from the single submission. As the criteria varies for the two reports, it is important for to be as thorough and as accurate as possible in this submission. should consider historical activity by the PN, current economic trends, and the availability of unexpended and anticipated grant monies. It may well be appropriate to contact PN counterparts to obtain their estimates of essential and likely sales, but it is important to avoid any “false impression” that the will approve (or has already approved) a future request.
References
SAMM
- SAMM C2.1.3.5 — Javits and Foreign Military Sales Forecasting.
- SAMM C2.1.3.6.2 — Avoiding False Impressions.
- SAMM C14.4.1
- SAMM C14.4.2.1 — Foreign Military Sales Forecast Process.
- SAMM C14.4.3.1 — Javits Report Process.
Related
Security Cooperation
Activities undertaken by the DoD to encourage and enable international partners to work with the United States to achieve strategic objectives. It includes all DoD interactions with foreign defense and security establishments, including all DoD-administered security assistance programs, that: build defense and security relationships that promote specific U.S. security interests, including all international armaments cooperation activities and security assistance activities; develop allied and friendly military capabilities for self-defense and multinational operations; and provide U.S. forces with peacetime and contingency access to host nations.
SAMM Glossary, as of 12 September 2026
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FMS — Foreign Military Sale
SAMM Acronyms, as of 12 September 2026
DSCA — Defense Security Cooperation Agency
SAMM Acronyms, as of 12 September 2026
Glossary entry →Defense Security Cooperation Agency (DSCA) →
Javits Report
The President's estimate to the Congress of potential or proposed arms transfers during a given calendar year required by Arms Export Control Act (AECA), Section 25(a)(1) (22 USC 2765(a)(1)) .
SAMM Glossary, as of 12 September 2026
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SCO — Security Cooperation Organization
SAMM Acronyms, as of 12 September 2026
Combatant Command (CCMD)
A unified or specified command with a broad continuing mission under a single commander established and so designated by the President, through the Secretary of Defense and with the advice and assistance of the Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff. Also called CCMD.
SAMM Glossary, as of 12 September 2026
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Arms Transfers
The sale, lease, loan, or other transfer of defense articles and defense services such as arms, ammunition, and implements of war, including components thereof, and the training, manufacturing licenses, technical assistance, and technical data related thereto, provided by the USG under the authority of the Foreign Assistance Act of 1961, as amended, or the Arms Export Control Act, as amended, or other statutory authority, or directly by commercial firms to foreign countries, foreign private firms, or to international organizations. See also conventional arms transfers.
SAMM Glossary, as of 12 September 2026
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Foreign Military Sales (FMS)
A process, authorized by the Arms Export Control Act, through which eligible foreign governments and international organizations may purchase defense articles, services, and training from the United States Government.
SAMM Glossary, as of 12 September 2026
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Fiscal Year (FY)
The USG’s accounting period. It begins on October 1 and ends on September 30 and is designated by the calendar year in which it ends.
SAMM Glossary, as of 12 September 2026
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Security Cooperation Organization (SCO)
A Department of Defense element that is part of the United States Diplomatic mission located in a foreign country to carry out security assistance and security cooperation management functions under the supervision and coordination authority of the senior defense official/defense attaché.
SAMM Glossary, as of 12 September 2026
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DCS — Direct Commercial Sales
SAMM Acronyms, as of 12 September 2026
Implementing Agency (IA)
The military department or defense agency responsible for the execution of military assistance programs. With respect to FMS, the military department or defense agency assigned responsibility by the Defense Security Cooperation Agency to prepare an LOA and to implement an FMS case. The implementing agency is responsible for the overall management of the actions that will result in delivery of the materials or services set forth in the LOA that was accepted by a foreign country or international organization.
SAMM Glossary, as of 12 September 2026
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State (PM) — Department of State, Bureau of Political-Military Affairs
SAMM Acronyms, as of 12 September 2026